KALSHI PREDICTION MARKETSCFTC REGULATEDDEMO
Event contracts — Binary outcomes — Market-implied probabilities → Equity signal mapping
11:41:22 CT
kalshi.com/trade-api/v2
MARKETS
0
CATEGORY
ECONOMY
TOTAL VOLUME
$0K
TOTAL OI
0
AVG PROB
0%
Loading prediction markets...
PREDICTION MARKET → EQUITY SIGNAL PATHWAY
① EVENT PROBABILITY
Kalshi YES/NO prices = market-implied probability. E.g. CPI > 3.2% at 35¢ = 35% probability.
② PROBABILITY SHIFT
Track Δ in YES price. Rapid moves = new info priced. +10¢ in 4hrs = significant signal.
③ EQUITY MAPPING
Each event maps to tradeable equities. Fed rate → TLT, banks. BTC range → MSTR, COIN.
④ OPTIONS OVERLAY
Combine prediction prob with IV surface. If market says 70% bullish but vol is cheap → opportunity.
KALSHI PREDICTION MARKETS MODULE | MONEDA MARKET INTELLIGENCE | ZERO VENTURESPublic API — api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2 — No auth required for market data